GB-London: Policeometer - Understanding the trends in Policing and Crime KPIs (MOPAC 1084)

Mayors Office for Policing and Crime · awarded 17 February 2025 · delivered in London

Who

Buyer	Mayors Office for Policing and Crime London
Supplier	MANNING GOTTLIEB OMD
Category	services
Classification	Research services CPV 73110000
Notice published	20 February 2025

What it is for

To develop the Policeometer project, we require a research and data analytics partner to provide the following key services: Data Collection and Integration Obtain and consolidate high-quality data on relevant societal factors (e.g., unemployment rates, cost of living, population density, police workforce hours, stop and search). This data should be granular (e.g. weekly records if available) and span an appropriate period to ensure robust analysis. Ensure data is accurate, reliable, and suitably formatted for statistical modelling, with preprocessing steps as needed to address any gaps, inconsistencies, or potential biases. Analytical Model Development Build econometric models (or equivalent analytical model) to estimate the relationships between societal factors and rates of crime across London. This includes developing a theoretical framework that identifies and structures the factors likely impacting crime rates. Build econometric models (or equivalent analytical model) to estimate the relationships between societal factors and trust and confidence in the MPS. This includes developing a theoretical framework that identifies and structures the factors likely impacting these factors. The analysis should test for statistical significance of each factor, with rigorous diagnostics to validate model results. Scenario Planning and Forecasting Tool Integrate the validated models into an interactive scenario planning dashboard, allowing users to adjust key variables and observe the predicted impact on rates crime and impacts on trust and confidence in the MPS. The tool should provide clear, visual outputs that support policy simulations, helping stakeholders evaluate the potential effects of different societal conditions on crime trends across London. Documentation and…

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