CSD19 Integrative Foresight and Forecasting-------DEM0010490

DEFRA · awarded 15 July 2024 · delivered in London

£50k Award value £49,500
1 Supplier Size not recorded
31 Mar 2025 Runs until from 2 Sep 2024

Who

BuyerDEFRA London
Supplier ForgeFront
Categoryservices
ClassificationResearch and development consultancy services CPV 73200000
Notice published6 September 2024

What it is for

Aim 1. To integrate super forecasting with foresight methodologies to provide probabilistic, but non-linear, judgments on emerging, novel and convergent biothreats that either target directly or use as a primary vector, animals, plant and fungi (APF) to protect national security. 2. To define and establish archetypal system trajectories across Defra's biothreat landscape and threshold(s) for anticipatory action. 3. To test and examine how current decision-making structures respond to threshold breaches and super forecasting more broadly as part of the overall (Defra) biothreat assessment concept.

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